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February 24, 2017

Trump Vs Clinton …Who wins US Election?

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton have been knocking lumps out of each other for months as one of the most talked about elections in recent history approaches

The race for the White House is just at corner, with the candidates trading increasingly vicious blows to become Barack Obama’s successor.

How close is the race?

Over the last year  Donald closed the gap on Hillary remarkably, going from rank outsider for the Republican nomination to almost neck and neck as polling day neared.

Yet the real estate mogul’s chances seemed slim after the emergence of a series of controversial comments and allegations of sexual misconduct led to his rival opening a nine-point lead in mid-October.

However, Clinton’s prospects have been rocked by a disastrous week that saw the FBI announce that it was relaunching its investigation ‘into the Democrats email use.

The consequences have been huge. One ABC/Washington Post poll, which had Trump 12 points behind just a week ago, incredibly now shows him ahead by a single point.

But another, from the New York Times/NBC, gives Hillary a three-point advantage.

Indeed, an up-to-date poll tracker shows there is now nothing between them: the former First Lady is at 46.2 per cent overall, with Trump just behind on 45.6 per cent.

Voters will go to the polls on  Tuesday November 8 to choose between the the blond billionaire from New York and Hillary Clinton

Clinton is still considered the favourite by most bookies – Sun Bets currently offers odds of 4/11 on her entering the White House, with the Donald at 2/1.

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But the experts didn’t see Brexit coming, so her slender lead in these fields by no means guarantees her the keys back the old gaff she used to share with hubby Bill.

There is much speculation that like the EU referendum in the UK the pollsters and bookies could be in for a surprise.

Much like the “shy Tories” who gifted the last General Election to David Cameron, and the quiet Brexiteers who won the EU referendum for Leave, some quarters think “shy Trumpers” could hand victory to The Donald.

How does the election work?

The US Presidential election system works in a very different way to our own.

Who wins isn’t reflected by how many MP’s a party gets or even necessarily the candidate with the greatest share of the popular vote.

Each of the 50 states as well as the District of Columbia, where Washington is located, has a number of votes in the Electoral College to award to a candidate.

The number of votes is based on the number of members of congress the state has which is in proportion to the population of the state.


 

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